Examining the Return From the Ivan Provorov Trade
Daniel Briere said he was going to make moves to turn the Philadelphia Flyers around. He wasted no time. In his first trade as general manager, he shipped Ivan Provorov to the Columbus Blue Jackets and depth pieces Kevin Connauton and Hayden Hodgson to the Los Angeles Kings. In return, Philadelphia got quite a few pieces.
Before we look at the haul, we have to give a big shout out to Briere. Unless Briere didn’t do it. There is a part of me that thinks that Eagles GM Howie Roseman put together this sort of deal because the Flyers got quite a bit for an above average defenseman. Joking aside, Briere did receive a lot in return for what the team traded away.
The Draft Picks
So, from the Columbus Blue Jackets, the Flyers received the 22nd overall pick in this years draft and a conditional second-round in either next year’s draft or 2025. From the LA Kings, the Flyers received a second round pick in this year’s draft. No draft picks were traded away.
This is pretty significant. The Flyers got a pair of second rounders and a first round pick for Provorov. In comparison, the Flyers only got a first rounder and a fourth rounder with Owen Tippett when they traded away Claude Giroux last year, To be fair, Giroux was a rental, but dang, he is still a future Hall of Famer. Briere got a lot of picks for Provorov who hasn’t even made an all-star game.
The 22nd overall pick is a pretty big deal. The Flyers could use that pick with the seventh pick they already own and try to package a deal to move up to draft a more highly regarded prospect like Adam Fantilli or…dare I say….Connor Bedard. (Briere might need Howie’s help to pry that pick away from Chicago!) Or, Briere could save the pick and draft another piece to add to the Flyers’ arsenal of young players and continue building for the future. Or again, Briere could move some picks to acquire more future picks.
The two second round picks, one this year and one in 2024 or 2025 help to restock draft picks that were traded away. This is, by all accounts, a really good draft year; especially for forwards. So, it is possible that a good defender or goalie prospect could fall into the second or third round for the Flyers to snatch up. This trade gives them more flexibility as they now have some ammunition to work with.
Cal Petersen
Over the last two seasons (2020-21 and 2021-22), Petersen looked like the heir apparent to LA Kings legend Jonathan Quick. While his 29-32-7 record isn’t impressive, remember the Kings have been about as bad as Philly has been during that time span, his .904 save percentage and 2.89 goals against average are pretty solid.
This year, he played in just 10 games. He wasn’t hurt. He just didn’t look solid this year with a save percentage of .868 and a GAA of 3.75. Petersen was placed on waivers in December, spending the rest of the year with the Ontario Reign. For a 28 year old goalie, that’s not a good sign. It also doesn’t help that he is making $5 million and won’t be eligible for free agency until after the 2024-25 season.
So, why did the Flyers get him? It’s unclear as of yet. Is he here to be a more stable backup for Carter Hart instead of Felix Sandstrom or Sam Ersson? Is this a sign that Hart may be moved and the Flyers wanted an available goalie who isn’t going to tie down a lot of long term financial resources? Hart will be a free agent at the end of this season. Has he indicated he wants out? Has Peterson been acquired so he can be flipped to some other team?
All of these questions don’t have answers yet, but may soon. There are lots of rumors swirling around the Flyers right now, so we’ll just have to sit and wait to see which are true and which are just nonsense. It is worth waiting to see though.
Sean Walker
Walker, who will turn 29 this year, will be the second oldest defender on the team after Nick Seeler. He is not a goal scoring/points producing type of blue liner. That’s probably ok since the Flyers have a few on the team, like Provorov, who thought they were and struggled on the defensive side of it.
Walker is not a really impressive guy. He averaged almost 15 minutes of ice time, gave up 77 hits, had 13 points, and was a -3. Those are decent numbers for a third unit defender.
Again, he could be flipped for someone else or kept around for a depth piece. His salary for this year is $2,650,000 and he is on the final year of his contract. That isn’t a bad salary for a veteran defender, but he might end up blocking one of the defensive prospects waiting to come up.
Much like Petersen, we have to wait and watch with Walker. With the Flyers not done yet in making moves, there could be other factors in play here. (Tony DeAngelo maybe?) And with that in mind, perhaps a veteran defender can help be a mentor to a crop of young guys; similar to what Justin Braun was doing.
One other thing to keep in mind: Briere is making moves with John Tortorella in mind. Maybe there is something in Walker that Tortorella sees, likes, and wants for this team.
Helge Grans
This one is the wild card. Grans was a highly regarded prospect in the Kings organization that just hasn’t panned out. He is also just 22 years old. Remember, similar things were said last year with Tippett and look how that turned out.
In two seasons with the Ontario Reign, Grans has scored nine goals with 24 assists. Only nine of those points came in his second year. He took a big step back. Maybe it was the system or the coach. However, again, he was a second round pick in 2020 and is just 22.
Here are some scouting reports on him when he was drafted:
“An offensive defenseman with great size and a right-handed shot. A great skater who glides smoothly and uses his edges very well. Owns very good puck skills and a good shot. Needs to improve his decision-making and defensive play. Projects to become a middle-pair defenseman at the NHL level.” — Jokke Nevalainen of Dobber Prospects “He’ll walk the offensive blue line with the puck on his stick with relative ease; and he can mitigate risk while maintaining an aggressive, space-consuming posture when defending the defensive blue line. He skates well, has a long reach, an active stick, and good habits with his footwork.” — Elite Prospects “When all aspects are humming, Grans can be the best player on the ice well beyond simply taking the puck for a skate or slinging pucks on net. Granted, he holds a significant size advantage over most teenage opponents and plays in a league not necessarily known for a physical forecheck.” — Steve Koumianos of The Draft Analyst
In 2019-20, he represented Sweden at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup. Many of the draft analysis reports on Grans stated that he had a poor showing: five games, no goals, one assist, -3. They felt that based on that alone, his draft stock would take a hit, but if you look at his level of play with the Malmö Redhawks of the Swedish league, you could overlook that.
The most glaring comment I found, again came from Nevalainen’s analysis of him from Dobber Prospects:
“But his biggest weakness right now is his decision-making which can be baffling at times. He can make good decisions with the puck most of the time but the mistakes he makes are massive and unexplainable.”
So, he is young and raw, but shows flashes of talent. With Ian Laperriere down at Lehigh Valley, and with the help of Briere, Tortorella, and Keith Jones, this kid could be developed into something great. And if Grans can put together all of the tools and skills he has and suddenly “click”, he could be the steal of this trade.
Grans had a rough second year in the AHL. Perhaps with a change of scenery, he can flourish. And if he doesn’t, the Flyers will benefit greatly from this.
So overall, it looks like a pretty significant haul for Briere. And if this is the first trade that is coming, I can’t wait to see what’s coming next.